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Republican Byron Donalds wins Florida governor's race over Democrat David Jolly

Donalds got 50 percent to Jolly's 48.7 percent, per Newsweek, and succeeds term-limited Ron DeSantis, who leaves office in January.

The Florida State Capitol in Tallahassee in 2016
The Florida State Capitol in Tallahassee in 2016. Photo: DXR, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikimedia Commons
Published 3 min read
Overview

Florida voted on Tuesday, Nov. 3, in the elections. Republican Byron Donalds won the race for governor over Democrat David Jolly, according to Newsweek, with 50 percent of the vote to Jolly's 48.7 percent. Newsweek reports that Donalds becomes Florida's first Black governor.

He succeeds Republican Ron DeSantis, who is term-limited and leaves office in January. Jolly is a former member of who moved from the Republican to the Democratic party. In the U.S. , Republican Ashley Moody beat Democrat Angie Nixon, Newsweek reports.

Republicans won most House races, but many margins moved toward Democrats compared with 2022, and some races were still too close to call. DeSantis said on X that the revised likely kept the Republican House delegation at its 2024 level and that the old map would have given Democrats more seats. He also predicted large Democratic gains nationally, making a Republican recapture of Congress in 2028 very unlikely.

Donalds's campaign called Florida the "premier Republican stronghold in America." Florida's Division of Elections shows Republicans ahead in voter registration.

Key figures
  • 50 percent Donalds's share of the governor's vote, against Jolly's 48.7 percent — Newsweek
  • 50.9 percent Moody's share in the Senate special election, against Nixon's 48 percent — Newsweek
  • 20 Republicans and 8 Democrats Florida's likely US House delegation, per DeSantis — Newsweek
  • 1.5 million Republican voter registration advantage, per Florida's Division of Elections — Al Jazeera English
  • four Florida House races still too close to call — Newsweek

Three sides of the story

Liberal1 outlet

DeSantis's legacy shaping the race to succeed him

Al Jazeera English opens with DeSantis, saying "few modern governors" have left as deep a mark on Florida. It describes how he turned a into a Republican stronghold, pointing to his 19-point re-election win in 2022 and the 1.5 million voter registration edge Republicans now hold. It ties his laws on race and gender in schools, including the Stop Woke Act, to similar measures in other states.

The piece frames the governor's race as a test of that legacy. Donalds pledges to continue DeSantis-style politics and calls him the "best governor in the country." Jolly, a Republican-turned-Democrat, pitches affordability and healthcare.

Its main voice is University of Central Florida professor Aubrey Jewett, who expects Donalds to keep much of the agenda, perhaps with "a little bit of softening" on race, and predicts DeSantis will seek the presidency again in 2028.

Center1 outlet

Florida's narrower results and whether 2028 competes

Newsweek leads with Florida largely resisting the Democratic wave, while several congressional races moved toward Democrats compared with 2022, raising the question of a more competitive state in 2028. It gives the results in detail: Donalds's 50 percent to Jolly's 48.7 percent, Moody's win over Nixon, and four House races too close to call. It sets Republican celebration, including a Donalds campaign memo calling Florida the "premier Republican stronghold in America," beside the narrower margins.

It quotes DeSantis on X on the redistricting results and on his forecast of Democratic gains. Nixon told Newsweek she was not getting massive amounts of money from billionaires, and the piece notes she received no funding from two national Democratic Senate committees. University of Florida professor Sharon Wright Austin says Democrats are "preparing for 2028" and questions whether more national funding could have changed the outcomes.

Conservative1 outlet

Republican turnout surge and a push to vote

Townhall's election-day piece says Republicans are "surging" in Florida and urges every Republican voter to go to the polls. It is built largely from posts on X. One shows a voter saying "Bad weather is temporary, socialism is forever" as heavy rain hits the state. Another, from OSZ, says Republicans are up 22 points so far on election day, against 15 in 2024.

A third user writes that if Florida and Montgomery , Texas, are accurate representations of the day's voters, polls are "probably off by around 12%." Townhall adds that polling "could be off by as much as 12 percent." It also cites an Echelon Insights poll in which respondents said they were voting for Democrats by 5 points, while believing their neighbors were voting for Republicans by 3.

Townhall says the neighbor question is often a more reliable indicator. It notes Kalshi odds for Donalds rising to 73%. An editor's note says the midterms will decide the fate of Trump's "America First" agenda.

All sources: 3 articles from 3 outlets

Liberal (1)

Center (1)

Conservative (1)

Midterm elections

US elections halfway through a president's four-year term. The whole House, a third of the Senate and many governors are elected. In 2026 Election Day is November 3.

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Congress

The US parliament: the Senate and the House of Representatives. A bill becomes law when both pass it and the president signs it.

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Senate

The upper chamber of Congress: 100 senators, two per state, elected for six years. It confirms judges and ministers and approves treaties.

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Special election

An election held outside the normal schedule to fill a seat that became vacant, for example after a death or resignation. The winner serves the rest of the term.

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Redistricting and gerrymandering

States redraw their election districts, normally after each ten-year census. Gerrymandering is drawing the lines to help one party, by packing the other side's voters into a few districts or spreading them thin. Both parties do it where they can.

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Swing state

A state where either party can win, so it often decides the election.

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County

A division of a state, the main unit of local government. Counties run local courts, the sheriff and the count of votes in elections.

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